Landslide or a tight
race where one candidate will win by a little over 30 percent – this is the
result of the independent research group wherein they see a Ferdinand “Bongbong”
Marcos Jr. win in the 2022 national elections.
"It could be a
landslide for Marcos on May 9 or a tight race where we will simply have
somebody at a little over 30 percent winning the presidency," Stratbase
ADR Institute President Victor Andres "Dindo" Manhit said.
Stratbase shared
research results, including the outcome of surveys conducted by Pulse Asia the
Social Weather Stations (SWS).
(photo credit to owner)
Marcos dominated these surveys,
enjoying a huge lead over his closest rival, Vice President Maria Leonor
"Leni" Robredo.
In the January survey released by
Pulse Asia, Marcos got 60 percent voters' preference rating. Robredo was a far
second with 16 percent.
He said that while Marcos led most
pre-election surveys, his ranking could fall and this would result in a tight
contest.
However, Manhit admitted that
Marcos "can win big."
"Or Marcos slowly
declines...but nobody's really gaining," he added.
Based on the presentation shown by
Manhit, survey data revealed that support for Marcos peaked in December, but it
later declined while Robredo's and Domagoso's numbers increased.
However, Manhit said Marcos'
numbers were not declining enough "to threaten Marcos at this time."
"So the other candidates need
to work harder," he added.
He said that Robredo has to find
ways to improve her ranking because in some surveys, she was not the second
choice candidate.
In the Pulse Asia survey, Robredo
placed fourth among second choice candidates.
The top second choice candidate
was Manila Mayor Francisco "Isko Moreno" Domagoso.
"That means that the voter
preference for Leni has a ceiling such that she will not come out as a second
choice," Ana Tabunda, Pulse Asia research director, had said in an
interview with ANC's Headstart.
For Manhit, Robredo has to look
how she can broaden support for her candidacy and break that
"ceiling."
For this year's elections, the
most important issue is economic, Manhit said.
"And this is reflective of
the general population...75 percent are challenged by their low income,"
he said.
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