The next national elections are still far away but things are slowly
shaping up.
Is the country ready for Sara Duterte-Carpio and
Rodrigo Duterte tandem in 2022, after the end of the latter?
As for the Visayas and Mindanao region, the answer
seems to be Yes., in a pre-election survey the daughter and father tandem
emerged as the top bets.
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| Davao Mayor Sara Duterte- Carpio and President Rodrigo Roa Duterte (photo credit to owner) |
The independent and non-commissioned survey dubbed “Pahayag
VisMin 2019” showed that Davao city mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio topped the list
of 21 potential candidates for president, with 35 percent of the respondents
selecting her. She was followed by Sen. Mary Grace Poe with 11 percent; Manila
City Mayor Francisco “Isko” Domagoso, 7.8 percent; Sen. Emmanuel “Manny”
Pacquiao, 5.5 percent; Speaker Alan Peter Cayetano, 4.6 percent; and Sen.
Christopher Lawrence “Bong” Go, 4.5 percent.
The said survey was
conducted from Nov. 15 to 19, 2019 involved 2,000 registered voters from the
Visayas and Mindanao, who were randomly chosen. It was released by political
consultancy firm PUBLiCUS Asia Inc. (PAI), while data was processed by its data
science arm, VOX Opinion Research.
The
poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.19 percent across the entire survey
population and +/- 3.1 percent within the respective VisMin clusters.
For the second highest
position of the land, President Duterte emerged as top bet among 21 potential
candidates, garnering 11.6 percent. He was trailed by the Presidential first
daughter Davao city mayor Inday Sara, who got 11.5 percent.
Following
them were Manila Mayor Isko Domagoso with 9.85 percent; Senator Grace Poe, 9.05
percent; House Speaker Peter Allan Cayetano, 8.85 percent; and senator Manny Pacquiao,
7.25.
The
results of the poll showed that the Duterte brand could be stronger in Mindanao
and the Visayas bailiwicks than what was originally expected according to PAI
Executive Director and firm spokesman Aureli Sinsuat.
Sara is untouchable in Mindanao
Sinsuat pointed out that mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio
garnered a whopping 54.1 percent of the Mindanao votes, while the race was too
close to call in the Visayas.
Duterte-Carpio’s win was only 16.1 percent in the
Visayas, followed by Grace Poe-Llamanzares with 13.5 percent and Isko Domagoso
with 11.5 percent. With a cluster margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent, this
means that the Top 3 choices for President in the Visayas are statistically
tied, Sinsuat said.
“Mindanao
only has a 2-percent advantage over [the] Visayas in terms of overall voting
population, with 23 percent of total voters nationally registered in Mindanao
versus 21 percent registered in [the] Visayas. Despite this, the overwhelming
preference for Mayor Duterte-Carpio among Mindanaoan respondents essentially
nullified the tight results in Visayas,” Sinsuat said.
“Mindanaoan
voters catapulted President Duterte to the presidency in 2016. This goes to
show that a united Mindanao voting bloc is a force to be reckoned with in the
2022 elections,” he added.
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Report from Manila Times
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