Former PH Amb. explains why US will not defend PH in the Soutn China Sea war

Former PH Amb. explains why US will not defend PH in the Soutn China Sea war





Last week the country welcomed United States Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.


He was quoted saying : As South China Sea is part of the Pacific, any armed attack on the Philippine forces, aircraft or public vessels in the South China Sea, will trigger mutual defense obligations under the mutual defense treaty,” Pompeo said.

Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana wanted a review of the Mutual Defense Treaty Agreement entered into by the Philippines and the United States of America, Lorenzana wanted to get the assurance by the Americans that they will come to our aid when we are attacked in the West Philippine Sea by any of the other claimants in the area.

(photo credit to owner)


Rightly so, for a country ill-equip of necessary and modern military armaments will have no choice but to cling to a military super power as against another superpower.

Mr.Rigoberto Tiglao in his Manila Times article today titled “US will defend PH in a South China Sea war? Don’t bet on it” categorically says that the Americans will not come to our aid in the event China engages us militarily:

 

“Forget all the legalities of, and the blah-blahs over, the Mutual Defense Treaty (MDT). The US won’t send its carrier battle groups to help our Navy if ever it challenges the Chinese to a fight for one simple reason: Americans know that that would lead to a nuclear war between two superpowers, that would not only kill millions of citizens of both countries, but will result in global economic collapse.

 

 

For the sake of our reading public and for reasons of truthfulness, information dissemination and clarity we are quoting the article in full below.





US will defend PH in a South China Sea war? Don’t bet on it



IN another instance of Philippine media’s boundless faith in the country’s former colonial master, nearly all newspapers the other day banner-headlined US Secretary of State Michael Richard Pompeo’s claim that America will defend the Philippines in case of an armed attack by any country in the South China Sea.
Don’t bet on it. US officials have said that so many times in the past.
But in cases when the Philippines seemed to be on the verge of an armed conflict with China in the South China Sea, and asked the US for assurances of such succor, they either remained silent or “clarified” that they’d have to study the case more closely.

Forget all the legalities of, and the blah-blahs over, the Mutual Defense Treaty (MDT). The US won’t send its carrier battle groups to help our Navy if ever it challenges the Chinese to a fight for one simple reason: Americans know that that would lead to a nuclear war between two superpowers, that would not only kill millions of citizens of both countries, but will result in global economic collapse.
Such American squirming happened in 1995, when Philippine officials thought that an armed clash could occur because of the Chinese building their first installation on Mischief Reef, which the country also claimed. In a Senate hearing, the then foreign affairs secretary said, after his consultations with US officials: “It is a matter of public knowledge…. The Mutual Defense Treaty does not cover the Spratlys…”

US will defend PH in a South China Sea war? Don’t bet on it

 

IN another instance of Philippine media’s boundless faith in the country’s former colonial master, nearly all newspapers the other day banner-headlined US Secretary of State Michael Richard Pompeo’s claim that America will defend the Philippines in case of an armed attack by any country in the South China Sea.
Don’t bet on it. US officials have said that so many times in the past.
But in cases when the Philippines seemed to be on the verge of an armed conflict with China in the South China Sea, and asked the US for assurances of such succor, they either remained silent or “clarified” that they’d have to study the case more closely.
Forget all the legalities of, and the blah-blahs over, the Mutual Defense Treaty (MDT). The US won’t send its carrier battle groups to help our Navy if ever it challenges the Chinese to a fight for one simple reason: Americans know that that would lead to a nuclear war between two superpowers, that would not only kill millions of citizens of both countries, but will result in global economic collapse.

Such American squirming happened in 1995, when Philippine officials thought that an armed clash could occur because of the Chinese building their first installation on Mischief Reef, which the country also claimed. In a Senate hearing, the then foreign affairs secretary said, after his consultations with US officials: “It is a matter of public knowledge…. The Mutual Defense Treaty does not cover the Spratlys…”
But it could be argued that the statement was made in a hypothetical situation. But Philippine officials, including President Aquino 3rd himself, had actually sought US commitment for an actual situation – and were told to go home.

I am reprinting here a piece I wrote on this subject in August 2018 and which was also published in my book Debunked: Uncovering Hard Truths about EDSA, Martial Law, Marcos, Aquino, with a Special Section on the Duterte Presidency. The piece was entitled “Aquino, Del Rosario begged US to use its military in Scarborough crisis.” Neither Aquino and his officials nor the US has denied anything reported in the article.
2018 column follows
“If not for US leaders’ pragmatism and coolheadedness, President Benigno Aquino 3rd and his foreign secretary, Albert del Rosario, could have dragged the US into a war with China over the South China Sea territorial dispute. This conflict could have even led to a nuclear war between the two superpowers — and all of this, just because Aquino and del Rosario wanted to cover up their bungling of the Scarborough Shoal crisis.
In April 2012, Chinese civilian-government and fishing vessels went to their fishermen’s succor at Scarborough Shoal (Panatag Shoal) when the Philippine Coast Guard and Bureau of Aquatic Resources accosted them for alleged illegal fishing. Aquino ordered to the shoal the Navy’s biggest warship, acquired only a year earlier, the BRP Gregorio del Pilar, to board the fishermen’s vessels to take them in.
That was a big boo-boo. China pounced on Aquino’s blunder by loudly protesting that the Philippines had “militarized” the dispute, and that ‘Philippine warships’ were detaining its helpless fishermen.
Cleverly, China did not respond by sending its own warships, even as several of its modern frigates were on alert standby just over the horizon. It instead undertook a seaborne version of people power by having over 60 Chinese fishermen’s vessels —escorted by some six civilian government vessels — to the shoal.

The Chinese and Filipinos vessels were then locked in a stand-off that lasted for about six weeks from late April to May 2012, with each party aware that whoever blinks, or withdraws from the shoal, will lose it — forever, as it were.”
Begged the US
“Diplomatic sources here and abroad disclosed that Aquino and del Rosario begged the US to intervene in the conflict, by sending US warships to the area in order to send the message to China that it would defend the Philippine vessels if attacked.
Del Rosario and Defense Secretary Voltaire Gazmin rushed to Washington, D.C. on April 30, as the crisis that started on April 10 seemed to go against the Philippines, to meet with US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Defense Secretary Leon Panetta. Del Rosario invoked Clinton’s statements a year earlier, that the US would stand by its 1951 Mutual Defense Treaty, that requires it to defend the Philippines in case of attack by any foreign power on its military forces.

Del Rosario even issued an official statement on May 9, 2012, a few days after his meeting with Clinton, in which he declared that ‘US officials have publicly declared four times that it would honor the 1951 Mutual Defense Treaty, that obliges American troops to help defend the Philippines if it comes under attack.’
The US embassy in reaction to del Rosario’s claim, issued a statement saying that Clinton in their meeting did say that ‘the United States reaffirms our commitments and obligations under the Mutual Defense Treaty.’ Clinton, however, in several statements instead emphasized, that the ‘US does not take a position in territorial disputes between two countries.’
Clinton and even the US defense secretary did not respond to del Rosario’s demand for a categorical US commitment, that it would come to the Philippines’ defense in case a shooting war breaks out in the Scarborough crisis






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